Height: 6'7.5"

Weight: 218.4

Wingspan: 7'0"

Position: SF/PF

Draft Age: 21.1

Class: Freshman

League: NCAA

Team: Arkansas

Advanced

Efficiency

Strengths & Development Areas:

Functional Strength
Motor
Run & Jump
Catch & Shoot
Creates Separation
Inside Touch

Model Output:

Original
3.68
No Impact
6.13
Positional
8.82
Humble
4.14
Pos Humble
7.52
Average
6.06

Film View:

Offense

Adou Thiero is a high-motor, very athletic forward whose offensive game is defined more by effort, athleticism, and physicality than by skill or polish.  He is a very active player who is always moving and probing looking for ways to contribute offensively. Theiro will…

Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:

(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)

Taurean PrinceCam ReddishJaylen Brown

Best Stats:

10.6 BPM, 4.7 DBPM, 3.4% steal rate, All v. Top 50 Teams: BPM: +0.1

Adou was able to make a big impact this season and was really impactful as a defender.  This is where he’ll make his money in the NBA if he can raise his offensive profile enough to be playable.

Also, while not listing his entire profile, Adou played consistently well against top teams as lesser teams.

Worst Stats:

29th percentile Spot up, 39th percentile P&R Screener, 20th percentile Catch and Shoot, 32nd percentile Shooting off the dribble, 26% 3P%, 69% FT%

So good chance Adou can defend to some degree in the NBA, but what exactly is his offensive role.  He can’t shoot yet.  He can’t be the screener in the P&R or P&P.  I mean, it’s nice he can cut and grab some rebounds, but like we talked about with the rim running big men, there is only so much value to a player who just stands in the dunker spot.  He needs to improve something here.

 

To be a star or to hit their ceiling:

I think just to hit his ceiling and have a good NBA career (or stick in the league), he is going to need his defense to translate and then he is going to have to develop his offensive profile.  The easiest way would simply be to develop his jumper, but his lack of touch inside, on free throws, and passing gives me some pause to wonder how well he can.

Verdict:

Love the defense.  But I just don’t know what you do with Adou on offense.  He’s clearly not a primary or even a secondary ball handler.  He can’t shoot and his poor touch across all aspects of his game (e.g., passing, FTs, inside scoring) indicates he may have issues with touch or some type of coordination or modulation that makes shooting tricky for him.  But he’s also not a great screen and roll man.  So basically, he’s going to run around, set off ball screens, cut from the corner and spend some possessions in the dunker spot assuming his team doesn’t have a more traditional big man there?

I hate to say it, but that’s not going to work for many, if any, teams.  Thiero is going to have to find a way to develop that touch.  The good news is he has a lot of defensive potential and the better his defense is the more his shot only needs to be passable.  But he needs to get up over about 35% of in-rhythm three pointers.  His career 28% from the college three point line won’t cut it.

Given the work that needs to be done here, I really think he’s more of an early to mid 2nd round pick.  As someone who was a defensive player first when I played, I love good, strong defenders like Theiro, but if he can’t improve his touch, he could easily be out of the league or languishing in the G-League for awhile.  I’d like to avoid that in general, but especially with a first round pick and guaranteed contract.

NBA Comp High:

PJ Tucker
PJ Tucker
PJ's college profile was at least somewhat similar to Theiro. I mean he came out before the three point era, so he really didn't even shoot them in college. And he is pretty much the dream career for someone like Adou. I don't know if he can get here. And worth noting that it really took Tucker a season with the Raptors, 5 years playing overseas, and then another year with the Suns before he really came into his own at 28.

NBA Comp Medium:

Mo Harkless
Mo Harkless
Mo had a 10 year career where he averaged 7-4 while starting 372 games and shooting 32% from downtown on low volume. But he actually turned in a couple of decent seasons where his defensive value outweighed his slightly negative offensive value. Putting is as a middling outcome for Adou is probably too optimistic, but also a realistic path for him. Though if we talk about what to expect from a 2nd round pick, it's probably closer to the lowest outcome.

NBA Comp Low:

Derrick Jones Jr.
Derrick Jones Jr.
Again, I should be clear, that the actual floor or low outcome for a likely 2nd round pick it the ACB or G-League. Jones' 9 year career is not automatic or expected. But Jones has kicked around the league for awhile for his energy, defense, and hard-nosed play that has impressed some coaches. He's only had one season with a positive BPM. But he's carved out a nice niche and even played in the NBA Finals with the Heat. I mean he played 10 minutes total, but that's still an honor and something most 2nd round picks would love to be a part of.

Adou Thiero Player Statistics

Per Game

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Totals

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Per 36 Minutes

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Advanced Stats

Season G MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS
2021-22
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