Bilal Coulibaly

Height: 6'7"

Weight: 194

Wingspan: 7'3"

Position: SG/SF

Draft Age: 18.9

League: LNB Pro A

Team: Metropolitans 92

Advanced

Efficiency

2P%: .571

3P%: .452

FT%: .595

FG%: .532

Strengths & Development Areas:

Great Hand Speed
Fluidity/Bending
Lateral Speed
Defensive Rotations
Navigating Screens
Shoot Off The Dribble

Model Output:

Original
8.2
No Impact
5.71
Positional
8.95
Humble
7.43
Pos Humble
8.98
Average
7.85

Film View:

Coulibaly is an interesting case in that he has a good base of skills and was a bit of a Jekyll & Hyde where he was very aggressive and showed more creation and passing instinct in the junior league and then was a lot more passive in Jeep Elite.  Now,…

Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:

(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)

Kelly OubreRobert CovingtonOtto Porter

Best Stats:

5.9 steals + blocks + oboards per 40 for a wing; 1:1 ration of Steals per foul; 60% on twos and 36% on threes; 15 FGA per game in LNB Espoirs 4.3 FGA in Jeep Elite

Yes, he need to improve his awareness, but it’s pretty crystal clear what Bilal’s NBA role is.  And while his FGs per game in Jeep Elite will also show up on the bad stat list, it’s worth giving him credit for coming to the big club and seeking to fit in and doing it well enough to play a crucial role in the playoffs.  He definitely put the team and winning over himself, even leading up to the NBA draft.

Worst Stats:

72% FT; 4.3 FGA per game in Jeep Elite; 12-6-2-1.8 per 40 in Jeep Elite

Credit to Coulibaly for subjugating his game in Jeep Elite and putting the team first.  However, he also was clearly not able to operate as effectively there.  Worth noting the more pedestrian per 40 numbers, that wouldn’t have scored as highly in the model.

To be a star or to hit their ceiling:

To be a star, he would need outlier development of his handles, shooting off the dribble, inside scoring in traffic, and overall awareness.  I think it is technically possible with Bilal, but just a lower probability.  To simply be a very good role player (say a plus start), he just needs to improve his awareness and clean up his shooting and ball handling.  The tools and physical traits are all there.

Verdict:

Coulibaly is really the first of the mystery box prospects.  You squint hard with one eye and you can see a young player with strong physical tools, nascent skills, an aggressive streak in the junior league (just like Giannis!), and who played a meaningful role for the Metropolitans 92s deep playoff run.  Squint hard with the other eye and you see a raw prospect, who struggles with his overall awareness, doesn’t have any real NBA-ready skills, and who was carried by Wembanyama on the Metropolitans 92s and we make look back and realize Bilal played a role for the M92s like Boobie Gibson played for LeBron’s Cavs or Fabricio Oberto played for the Duncan, Ginobili, Parker Spurs – real roles, but also a lot of guys could have drove to the hoop or shot a wide open three while they were triple teamed.

And I think that if you watch only his highlights, it’s easy to become enamored with Coulibaly’s tantalizing mix of potential skills; but the more tape you watch the more it’s clear he has a lot to learn and lacks sound judgment on both ends of the court. It’s likely to take some time before he’s ready to be a consistent contributor.

I tend to favor savvy, skilled players over raw ones.  But even I am intrigued by Coulibaly’s tools and skillset. He has a really clear path to “Three and D” success with his emerging shot, length, and lateral speed.  He just struggles when required to do anything more and is going to be a developmental prospect.  However, he seems like exactly the kind of player GMs like Presti and Hammond like grabbing to play a role and be disruptive around their stars.

This is a bit of an odd draft in that after the top 12 prospects, there are a lot of very flawed prospects who frankly strike me as nearly as much of a risk as Bilal.  I feel like the last couple of years I would have had him closer to the 16-22 range (around where I had Ousmane Dieng last year).  But as you start to push past 16, I am not sure I feel any better about guys like George, Clowney, Sasser, or Howard.  So I think the risk becomes worth the reward for Coulibaly somewhere in the 14-16 range this year.

NBA Comp High:

Rich Man's Trevor Ariza
Rich Man's Trevor Ariza
The rich man's qualifier is not meant as an insult to Ariza, but for a top end scenario, Coulibaly has All Star and All Defensive Team (maybe 2nd or 3rd team) potential if he is able to mature his understanding of the game and his skill set. But I like this comparison because Ariza entered the NBA is a somewhat similar place to Bilal. Ariza was a top recruit by Steve Lavin right as he was fired from UCLA. Ariza ented the league with some developing skills and strong physical tools, but was a bit of a mess. It took him three franchises to really settle in, but he wound up a plus starter and critical piece on a Lakers championship team and some extremely talented Rockets teams that made the WCF. He was primarily a shooter and extremely talented defender, but he could handle the ball and pass opportunistically. He put up a BPM north of 2.0 four times.

NBA Comp Medium:

Remixed Thabo Sefolosha
Remixed Thabo Sefolosha
In a medium scenario, I feel like Coulibaly's defense will be better than his offense. It's a bit easier to imagine that he increases his awareness and makes better decisions than he greatly improves his handles, passing, and awareness in offense. That said, Thabo made the All Defensive Team, but never averaged even 9 points per game. I think a middle scenario for Bilal is a bit worse defensively, but a bit more competent offensively.

NBA Comp Low:

Al-Farouq Aminu
Al-Farouq Aminu
There's a world where he is just very long and athletic, but never quite puts it together or plays a bit more of a fringe role, though to be fair, Aminu did start for some Portland playoff teams. Look, there's nothing wrong with carving out an 11 year career.

Bilal Coulibaly Player Statistics

Per Game

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 18.1 1.9 3.5 .532 0.5 1.1 .452 1.3 2.3 .571 0.8 1.4 .595 0.8 2.3 3.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.9 1.5 5.0

Totals

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 488 50 94 .532 14 31 .452 36 63 .571 22 37 .595 22 61 83 22 21 6 25 41 136

Per 36 Minutes

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 488 3.7 6.9 .532 1.0 2.3 .452 2.7 4.6 .571 1.6 2.7 .595 1.6 4.5 6.1 1.6 1.5 0.4 1.8 3.0 10.0

Advanced Stats

Season G MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS
2021-22
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