Height: 6'10"

Weight: 246

Wingspan: 7'0"

Position: C

Draft Age: 20.5

Class: Freshman

League: NCAA

Team: Maryland

Advanced

OBPM: 5.1

DBPM: 4.2

BPM: 9.2

WS/40: .216

Efficiency

TS%: .591

2P%: .558

3P%: .200

FT%: .766

FG%: .526

Strengths & Development Areas:

Functional Strength
Footwork
Inside Touch
Defensive Rotations
Motor
Perimeter

Model Output:

Original
6.90
No Impact
9.08
Positional
8.60
Humble
8.01
Pos Humble
8.79
Average
8.28

Film View:

Watching Derik Queen play is like using a time machine to go back and watch a slightly smaller version of DeMarcus Cousins in both the good ways and bad.

Offense

Derik Queen is one of the most skilled inside scorers in the class, showcasing…

Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:

(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)

Al HorfordDavid LeeDay’Ron Sharpe

Best Stats:

-0.2 All v. Top 50 Quality Games; 27-5-1 + 31-3-0 + 19-10-1

One of the big questions about Queen as he continues to develop his outside and midrange games are if his style will work in the NBA.  Is he just a bully who can be stopped by bigger and better team?  Sure, it’s possible he has an adjustment in the NBA and is very inefficient as a rookie like DMC and Sabonis.  But at least in college, he was just as productive against Top 50 teams as lower ranked teams with only a 0.2 difference in BPM against All Teams and Top 50.

Similarly, while he did have a couple of poor shooting games against Michigan and Michigan St. not listed above, he had the three stat lines listed (points + rebounds + assists) against Florida, Michigan, and Illinois who are stacked with draft prospects.  And while Ivisic missed the Illinois game, Florida had Condon and Chinyelu and Michigan had Wolf and Golden.  And in case you think I am being cute by only listing the popcorn stats above, in those three games Queen shot 8-17 (with 1 three and 10-10 from the FT line), 10-19 (with 2 threes and 9-9 from the FT line), and 7-11 (with 0 threes and 5-7 from the FT line).

Basically, questions about his pro potential are certainly valid.  But at least in college, it didn’t seem to matter if he was playing top competition or teams with trees.  He may have struggled more around the hoop at time, but he still found ways to be effective and score.

Worst Stats:

46th percentile P&R man, 28th percentile Isolation, 20th percentile P&R ball handler, 25th percentile catch and shoot, 12th percentile shooting off the dribble

So Queen was good in the post and off offensive rebounds.  There is some hope for his shot as he hit 77% of his free throws and has good touch.  So I don’t want to get too dramatic here, but it does seem like his transition to the NBA would be easier if he had some other defining skill.  My guess is a team uses him in the high post and lets him drive, post, or use his passing, which will be easier if he smooths out his 15-17 foot jumper.  But otherwise, he’s not great in the P&R in either role.  He’s not great in Isolation.  And he’s not great shooting either off the catch or dribble.

Look, he’s a freshman and very young, so none of this is set in stone.  But he will need to develop some of these ancillary skills he didn’t do well last season to help carve out an effective role at the next level.  I don’t think a team is going to want to run everything through him in the post.

To be a star or to hit their ceiling:

He needs to refine his shot, which will open up a lot more of his game.  He needs to improve his conditioning.  He needs to improve his focus on defense, he may never be a defensive star, but he certainly has the tools to at least be passable.  And he needs to just focus better and channel the positive aspects of DMC and not the parts where he failed to get back on defense because he was banging the stanchions or complaining to the officials.  And I don’t want to lean too far into that, Queen and DMC are not the same person and some passing similarities with their playing style and emotiveness does not mean that Queen will have some of the issues with his teams and coaches in the NBA that Cousins did.  But the visible frustration and way they could both be taken out of the games at times did show and is something Queen needs to address.

Verdict:

Queen is another player where I have gone back and forth on his tier for a couple of reasons.

First, I am really curious how character evaluations go.  With an NBA training regime, Queen should be able to get into better shape and stronger to pick up some added speed at athleticism.  But will he?  Will he commit on defense or will the pouting and inconsistent effort remain?  It’s really hard to say from the outside.  Again, I don’t want to overly learn on the DMC comparisons and pretend they have identical personalities when they do not.  But I do recognize some of the on-court pouting and lack of focus and it can be harder on the team than maybe people realize.  Hopefully he matures out of it quickly.

Second, there is a bit of an odd debate in my head that I have with Fears as well (depending on final rankings, am unsure which people will be reading first).  Both Cousins and Fears are the types of players where I have some concern if they are drafted as your best player and they get 90 touches per game, they will put up numbers and end up getting cemented as the franchise player.  And with both of them, there is a good chance if they are your best player you are committing 5-8 years to them and likely peaking with a first round playoff exit. That’s not great and makes me want to downgrade them (given they may not even reach those heights).  But at the same time, DMC was traded for a highly drafted and respected rookie and a lottery pick and Fox fetched 3 first round picks even after dictating he only wanted to play for one team (though the Kings swung one of those lottery picks for LaVine).  If you build the rest of your team up during their tenure, potentially getting some useful players and 2-3 draft picks is also a pretty good outcome for a mid to late lottery pick, so perhaps I talent still rules and they deserve to be higher.

Ultimately, you can probably see where I am headed with Queen.  I think he improves his jumper and his passing and his game translates at least on some level.  I don’t pretend to know his character, so I shy away from over-penalizing him for some on-court emotiveness.  I trust teams to do their diligence and realize this and medical information is beyond what I know.  So it’s hard to drop him too far.  He carries some risk from his lack of defense and the fact that he still have some real development he needs.  And I think he is probably tantalizing but very inefficient as a rookie putting up some big popcorn stats, but having a lot of 8-22 shooting nights.  I think he gets there.  And I think as a complementary piece, a lot of players can be good in the playoffs if they are next to a Curry, LeBron, Doncic, SGA, etc.  I do worry about him as a franchise player, but that is sort of a future problem a current lottery team can worry about once they are winning 50 games and consistently getting to the playoffs.

For now, those might be reasons to snag another player in the Tier ahead of him, but he’s another guy who makes a lot of sense to me in the 8-14 range, though he could go a pick or two higher given how flat this draft is.

NBA Comp High:

DeMarcus Cousins
DeMarcus Cousins
If you read the film review above, it won't surprise you to see Boogie here as Queen's potential high end outcome and one I think he can realistically reach or at least get closer to. Emotional control and injuries marred various parts of Cousins career (as well as being stuck on some under-talented and poorly constructed Kings' teams). However, he had 5 seasons with a BPM between 3.0-5.2. He was a 4 time All Star and made the All NBA 2nd team twice. Queen might not quite reach those heights. He is a bit smaller than Cousins and there's no guarantee his outside shooting becomes as lethal. But the upside is there for him to be an offensive force who is at least passable on defense.

NBA Comp Medium:

Modern Al Jefferson
Modern Al Jefferson
Maybe a touch high for a middle outcome, but picked Big Al because he was a heck of a scorer and rebounder. He also played on exactly three .500 teams when he was playing 30+mpg. Like with DMC on the Kings not all of that is Jefferson's fault. However, he was never a shooter and took until age 27 before he started making a real impact on the court. Even then, he was never an All Star (though he does have the distinction of making an All NBA 3rd team, while missing the All Star game). A middle for Queen could certainly be worse than this. But the archetype here of a player who puts up impressive numbers, while struggling to make an impact, especially for the team who drafts him or until his 3rd contract is a real possibility.

NBA Comp Low:

Drew Gooden
Drew Gooden
Again, this low end or floor example is probably higher than Queen's actual floor if he is really bad. But I imagine Queen has enough size and skill to stick around the league for a bit and put up some stats. I picked Gooden because he played for awhile due to his size and relative skill. He couldn't shoot threes and wasn't good at defense. And he only had a positive BPM twice in his career and had plenty of years where he was a -1.0 to -2.8. While things certainly could be worse for Queen, this probably represents a pretty realistic floor in all but the bottom 5% of scenarios. Big man who drifts around the league and can put up numbers, but frustrates with his lack of real impact.

Derik Queen Player Statistics

Per Game

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 36 30.4 5.8 11.1 .526 0.2 1.0 .200 5.6 10.1 .558 4.6 6.1 .766 2.3 6.6 9.0 1.9 1.1 1.1 2.4 2.1 16.5

Totals

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 36 1093 210 399 .526 7 35 .200 203 364 .558 167 218 .766 84 239 323 67 39 39 85 77 594

Per 40 Minutes

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 36 1093 7.7 14.6 .526 0.3 1.3 .200 7.4 13.3 .558 6.1 8.0 .766 3.1 8.7 11.8 2.5 1.4 1.4 3.1 2.8 21.7

Advanced Stats

Season G MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS WS/40 OBPM DBPM BPM
2021-22 36 1093 24.7 .591 .088 .546 9.0 24.6 16.9 11.6 2.0 3.8 14.5 26.6 3.1 2.8 5.9 .216 5.1 4.2 9.2
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