Height: 6'5"

Weight: 184

Wingspan: 6'8"

Position: PG/SG

Draft Age: 19.1

League: LNB Pro A

Team: Saint-Quentin

Advanced

Efficiency

Strengths & Development Areas:

Passing Accuracy
Passing Vision
Speed
Avoids Contact
Navigating Screens
Shoot Off The Dribble

Model Output:

Original
0.14
No Impact
3.98
Positional
-0.66
Humble
4.80
Pos Humble
3.29
Average
2.31

Film View:

Offense

Nolan Traore is an extremely fast point guard with intriguing passing vision and transition game, but he’s currently more tools than impact, and his game is a work in progress.

His best trait is his explosive first step and high end speed. In…

Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:

(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)

Theo MaledonJordan ClarksonJames Bouknight

Best Stats:

72nd percentile catch and shoot. 8.3 assists per 40, 63rd percentile P&R on 50% of possessions, 1.9 A/T

Even if Traore is more of an off ball player or secondary / tertiary creator than a potential star, he has some of the tools you’d want to see such as his height and ability to catch and shoot at such as young age.

His passing is also encouraging and while I realize a 1.9 A/T doesn’t sound great for a PG, it seems fine to me for a 18-19 year old running the offense for a major FIBA club.

Worst Stats:

1.7 Win Shares in 44 games, 1.3 steals per 40, 51% TS%, 23rd percentile Isolation, 37th percentile Shooting off the dribble

By far the worst stat is just the lack of impact.  Again, it’s expected to some degree from teenagers playing big roles in FIBA leagues.  For the model I have to normalize the impact metrics of FIBA to better align with NCAA players or none of them would pop.  But even by those standards, this is pretty bad.  Though if I wanted to steelman a case for Traore, I would point out some of those other players, even wings, are more secondary or tertiary ball handlers playing next to a veteran lead guard, whereas Traore was forced to step in and lead the them.

You’d also like to see better scoring and shooting off the dribble if Traore was going to step in as a primary ball handler at the next level.  This points to more of a role player, at least early on in his career.

To be a star or to hit their ceiling:

Some of the shine from prior years and the U18 leagues needs to come back.  Perhaps he was just thrust into too large of a role in too good of a league.  Sure, he didn’t step in and make the impact that Doncic or Sengun made at 18.  But he can still be an extremely good player even if he’s a tick below those two.  But he needs to improve his handles, shooting off the dribble, runner, and add strength to help with his defense so he can at least become passable if not a plus defender with his size and tools.

Verdict:

At some point in the draft, the upside here becomes intriguing.  A 6’5″ guard with blazing speed has a variety of potential good outcomes even if he doesn’t become the type of superstar some people were hoping he might be a year ago.  If he just improves his defense and can shoot off ball and refines his game a bit more, you could imagine a player like Traore playing alongside Tatum and Brown in Boston or next to Murray and Jokic in Denver.

Of course, he still needs to get to that level.  There is certainly a chance that he’s overly reliant on his speed and a defensive liability as well.  But I do like that he’s young, has a good base of skill, has good scaled down outcomes even if he doesn’t hit his ceiling, and is a pretty high feel player who hopefully is pretty smart about finding ways to adapt him game.

Overall, that seems like a pretty as you start to move back into the 15-25 range.  Traore might benefit from going to a playoff team with veterans where he can play next to a couple of other ball handlers he can learn from and develop at his own pace with less pressure.

NBA Comp High:

Choose Your Own Adventure: Lonzo Ball or Dejounte Murray
Choose Your Own Adventure: Lonzo Ball or Dejounte Murray
There's really two different paths that Traore's development could take. To be fair, I probably could do something like this for a lot more prospects, but this is already a huge time commitment :). However, this felt especially appropriate for Traore. If he does hit his ceiling, it could have two different flavors. If he can channel his speed and really develop a killer midrange game, he could become Murray, Although, we have seen a lot of prospects with Murray's base traits and very few who have made the leaps he has. Second, he could be more like Lonzo Ball. A big PG who is able to use his tools to become a disruptive defender and to use his passing as a weapon alongside his ability to be a secondary or tertiary ball handler (at his pre-injury peak playing alongside LaVine and DeRozan) leading the break and picking his moments in the halfcourt. This a lot of effort and words for a 10-20% outcome, but there is a path here given Traore's pedigree, tools, and base level of skills.

NBA Comp Medium:

Dante Exum
Dante Exum
To be fair, there is probably a mid-high option Traore has a chance of hitting that falls somewhere between Exum and Ball/Murray, but this is also a pretty realistic outcome for Traore and part of why he has slipped in the draft. The potential just hasn't fully translated on the court yet. And the struggles scoring inside, shooting off the dribble, or getting to the hoop when he can't use pure speed is troubling and a bit reminiscent of former 5th pick, Dante Exum (could also grab Mudiay here if you prefer). Exum was pure speed and had some developing skills and carved out a role in the league, but just never fully put it together. To be fair to Exum, he did tear his ACL before his second season while playing for the Australian national team, so perhaps he could have had a higher ceiling.

NBA Comp Low:

Taller Kira Lewis
Taller Kira Lewis
What happens if Traore continues to play at one speed and continues to be a good in-rhythm, off ball shooter but never develops his midrange game or becomes effective at the hoop? He might mirror the career of the #13 pick from the 2020 draft. Lewis did play 4 years in the league, but just never found his footing and was never really impactful on either the offensive or defensive end.

Nolan Traore Player Statistics

Per Game

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Totals

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Per 36 Minutes

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Advanced Stats

Season G MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS
2021-22
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