Height: 6'10.5"

Weight: 262.8

Wingspan: 7'6"

Position: PF/C

Draft Age: 19.5

Class: Freshman

League: NCAA

Team: Georgetown

Advanced

Efficiency

Strengths & Development Areas:

Functional Strength
Passing Accuracy
Rim Protection
Low Defensive Versatility
Catch & Shoot
Lateral Speed

Model Output:

Original
8.86
No Impact
12.02
Positional
11.14
Humble
7.57
Pos Humble
10.55
Average
10.03

Film View:

Offense

Thomas Sorber is a physical, intelligent big who excels at screen-setting, scoring, and passing. Sorber thrives as a traditional roll man, combining strong screens, good timing, and high effort to create advantages in pick-and-roll actions. He rolls hard, has soft hands, and offers a…

Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:

(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)

Festus EzeliJarrett AllenJerome Jordan

Best Stats:

3.1 assists versus 2.9 turnover per 40 as a freshman Center, 1.9 steals and 2.6 blocks per 40, 70th percentile on Post-Ups with 26% of his possessions, 8.5 BPM

Sorber has some clear strengths.  He can score inside, post up, pass, and generate steals and blocks on defense.

The high A/T is especially impressive, depending on who you count as a center, he’s arguably the 6th highest A/T for a freshman center in the database behind Jokic, Anthony Davis, Kevon Looney, Sengun, and Evan Mobley.  And the next three are Holmgren, Wendell Carter Jr., and Kevin Love.  Certainly some of those players are better than others, but they are all pretty heady players who have been good passers for their role.

 

Worst Stats:

16% three point percentage, 6th percentile in catch and shoot, DNQ for a percentile shooting off the dribble; -4.7 BPM versus Top 50 Teams

So it’s great that Sorber can pass, but what else can he do?  He’s kind of an old school throw back big man at this stage.  He doesn’t shoot.  And he struggles against better teams.  I am not sure an NBA team will want to post him up, which brings us to another bad stat, but with a caveat…

Sorber is 19th percentile in P&R as the screener

Now that is bad, but also gave me pause as on film he actually set good screens, rolled well, had good hands, and could generally finish well.  So I think there is another issues, here are Georgetown’s three other primary wings:

Micah Peavy: 48% FG (good!)

Malik Mack: 38% FG (bad)

Jayden Epps: 39% FG (bad)

Basically, this is where you need context on things like Synergy stats.  I think Sorber was much better than the stats are indicating and the poor metrics from the P&Rs where he was the screener are probably largely driven by the ineffiency of the players he ran them with.

Sure enough, did a quick check on In-Stat and of the 176 P&Rs they tagged with Sorber serving as the screener, 123 were run with Mack or Epps (70% of his P&Rs) compared to 41 with Peavy (23%).

So it’s a bad stat, but with some hope.  If Sorber is going to carve out a role at the next level, it’s almost going to have to be as a P&R big man who can post up opportunistically when the defense switches or is off balance.

 

To be a star or to hit their ceiling:

First, Sorber needs the good parts of his game to translate to the NBA.  He needs to be able to score against length inside, run the P&R, and utilize his passing to help enhance his offensive value.  From there, he needs to develop at least some modern big man skills, such as improving his shooting ability.  And then he needs to prove he can become at least passable defensively so he cannot be hunted.

Verdict:

Sorber is a rough on, because he is the type of player you want to love and cheer for.  He has a legitimately fun game and if he can improve on his shooting, he can be a bit of a monster offensively.  It’s really easy to see his model outputs and watch his film and imagine him developing into another version of a player like Sabonis or Sengun.  However, he also comes with a lot more downside and risk than those two.

First, I thought that Sengun at least showed more inklings of a jumper when watching his film from Turkey.  He was also even a better passer and craftier post player.  And for all the slack that Sabonis and Sengun take for their perimeter defense and getting hunted at times in the playoffs, both of them played better perimeter defense in college/FIBA prior to the draft.  Sorber was a better shot blocker than either of those two, but also had some much more cringeworthy moments trying to guard outside and just getting left in the dust.

With that said, more teams are switching to two big lineups.  And who were in the top two big lineups last season? Steven Adams and Sengun.  Wendell Carter Jr. and Bitadze.  JJJ and Edey.  Holmgren and Hartenstein.  Gobert and Reid.  Allen and Mobley.  And Horford and Porzingis.  Now, the “two big lineups” has been brought up a lot to discuss players like Maluach.  However, if you look at gibs like Adams, Bitazde, Hertenstein, Gobert, Allen, and Horford, do most of them seem more like one dimensional shot blockers and dunkers. Or do more of them seem like guys who can screen, pass, shoot a bit, and provide some rim protection?  I don’t think Sorber has all of the skills yet, but outside of Gobert, most of those players seem more similar to him.

All of this is to say, I can’t advocate taking Sorber as high as I did Sengun (who I had at 5-6) or Sabonis (who I had at 6-7), but I do think he’s worth a gamble in the 10-16 range.  He has a softer floor than some of the other players above him, but has a higher ceiling than a lot of other players considered in that range.

NBA Comp High:

Alperen Şengün
Alperen Şengün
I cannot stress how far away Sorber currently is from Sengun, even setting aside his injuries, this is really looking at a future where Sorber is able to translate his P&R prowess, inside scoring, rebounding, and passing ability to the NBA, while also improving his defense, shooting, and other skills enough to get to this level of impact. I am not betting on this. Even getting close is probably a top 5-10% outcome. But this is the type of player Sorber should aspire to be and that is realistic at least given his base skill set and physical limitations.

NBA Comp Medium:

Roy Hibbert
Roy Hibbert
I think an interesting middle comparison for Sorber is a slightly shorter Roy Hibbert. And this is both a compliment and probably a backhanded compliment at the same time. Hibbert played right as the NBA was transitioning from old school big men to the modern style of play. And has has an odd career where he was a dominant center and a part of some 49-56 win Indiana teams who had the misfortune of losing twice in the Eastern Conference Finals to LeBron and the Heatles. And during this time, Hibbert was a two time All Star, had two seasons where he finished #10 and #2 in voting for DPOY, and he was viewed as an extrmely valuable player. And then seemingly overnight without any major injury that cost him a season, he just fell off the map as the league changed. At age 27 he was #2 in DPOY voting and by 29 he was playing 23 minutes per game averaging 6-5 and increasingly looking like a liability defensively (or at least a more situational player). While not identical physically, Sorber could be an extremely talented basketball player who just is a bit too lumbering and old school for the modern game. Maybe not, I hope he can develop his shot and agility a bit and finish somewhere between here and Sengun. But this is a realistic middling outcome. An anachronism who should have been born 20 years earlier.

NBA Comp Low:

Jason Thompson
Jason Thompson
And then we have out bottom outcomes. JT was a fan favorite and loved by his teammates. But he was a bit stiff and wasn't great guarding the perimeter. He couldn't shoot, but he could rebound and score inside a bit. He did manage to carve out an 8 year career, but never did better than having a -0.6 BPM. This is a realistic lower outcome for Sorber and even the full 8 years of JT's career are not guaranteed.

Thomas Sorber Player Statistics

Per Game

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Totals

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Per 36 Minutes

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22

Advanced Stats

Season G MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS
2021-22
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