Taylor Hendricks

Height: 6'9"

Weight: 210

Position: PF/C

Draft Age: 19.6

Class: Freshman

League: NCAA

Team: UCF

Advanced

OBPM: 5.4

DBPM: 2.5

BPM: 7.9

WS/40: .195

Efficiency

TS%: .589

2P%: .535

3P%: .394

FT%: .782

FG%: .478

Strengths & Development Areas:

Catch & Shoot
Motor
Multi-Position Defender
Creates Separation
Fluidity/Bending
Inside Touch

Model Output:

Original
9.37
No Impact
8.88
Positional
9.42
Humble
9.26
Pos Humble
10.15
Average
9.42

Film View:

Offensively, Hendricks is a very easy player to slot into an NBA role, but a bit harder to figure out if he can deliver on further upside.  Hendricks primary value is as a shooter.  Hendricks moves well without the ball and is able to set off ball screens and get…

Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:

(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)

Jonathan KumingaChimezie MetuTyler Lydon

Best Stats:

7.9 BPM; 25.3 Net Rating; 3.1 stocks per 40; 73rd percentile on Spot Ups at volume; 79th percentile Catch & Shoot

Hendricks made an impact and flashed potential in two areas crucial to an NBA role and a quicker path to playing time; good defense and proficiency as a spot up shooter, which doesn’t just include catching and shooting, but also creating and reacting to being run off the line.

Worst Stats:

25th percentile ISO, 7th percentile P&R Ball Handler; 40% FG on layups in the half court; 1.6 assists per 40 minutes; 2.5 turnovers per 40 minutes

Hendricks role maybe clear.  So this is a bit nitpicking a lottery selection versus sending up red flags he might not be an NBA player.  However, outside of shooting and playing defense, what is his path to even being an All Star?  I don’t think he’s a DPOY-level defender.  The metrics sort of back the film in that he doesn’t really create well in any way.  And he’s not great scoring inside in the half court or creating for others.  Obviously he is young and could really develop, so this isn’t a condemnation of his upside.  But entering the league, there is a lot he needs to improve to be eventually more than a solid starter.

To be a star or to hit their ceiling:

To make it as an important role player, Hendricks just needs his shot and defense to translate.  He plays an important position, so he has one of the highest floors and most clear cut paths to playing time.  To be a star, he’d need to really develop a much stronger offensive repertoire, which would include better ball handling, awareness, passing, and inside scoring.  Or at least becoming consistently great at 1-2 of those.

Verdict:

The good part about Hendricks is that he has a very projectable role in the NBA.  He plays an important position.  He’s a highly switchable big who can provide some interior protection, guard big wings, and switch onto the perimeter.  He can shoot, but also put the ball on the floor if chased off the line.  He’s a pretty ideal role player who projects as a starter.  Additionally, he is young and toolsy enough that there is at least the potential for some untapped upside.

However, while there is always a fun lottery ticket / mystery box element to young wings with some nascent skills.  It’s also hard to see what his clear path is to improvement or upside.  He’s not good at self-creation.  He’s not good at creating for others.  He lacks some of the physical traits and skills you’d want to see from a DPOY level defender.  And he doesn’t have the greatest feel.  It’s not bad, but he’s not likely to be a high level processor like some stars who just “think the game” at an elite level.  Sure, he’s young enough a step change or the dreaded “outlier development” is possible.  But there isn’t an easy path for him to chart and he’s far enough away on some of these skills, they would probably take a good 4-5 years+ to really develop at a much higher level.

All of that said.  Safe floor.  Important position.  Some upside potential.  I can’t quite put Hendricks above the tantalizing upside of the top 5, but I’d be very comfortable with him in the 6-10 range and would wager he goes somewhere around there on draft night.

NBA Comp High:

Clifford Robinson
Clifford Robinson
I struggled a bit on the right high end comp for Hendricks. Sure, technically there is a 0.5% chance he has massive development and morphs into a new Kawhi Leonard-type star. But a more realistic high end outcome to me is Uncle Cliffy. Robinson was one of the original stretch bigs who started playing in the 90s. In his prime he averaged up to 2 blocks per game, but also over a steal per game while spacing the floor with his outside shooting. He was a solid, but not great rebounder. And he could put the ball on the floor to score and was great at driving past the eras more flat footed big men. And he was a solid passer who peaked at 3.3 assists per game. He was also an All Star and 2x All NBA Defensive 2nd Team winner. For Hendrix to get here, he'd need his defense to translate at a high level. He would need to refine his handles and improve his overall awareness and passing. A stretch, but feels feasible if all goes right.

NBA Comp Medium:

Jerami Grant
Grant has really developed into a fantastic player and this may be a bit of a high-middle scenario, as Hendricks will need to develop his offensive game in particular to match some of Grants accomplishments. However, this did feel realistic and I liked it a bit better than Cam Johnson, who maybe a bit of a better passer, but lacks some of the defensive chops Grand and I think Hendricks can bring. If Hendricks can grow his offensive game and ball handling, while having his defense and shot blocking translate, Grant feels like realistic outcome.

NBA Comp Low:

Zach Collins
I'm better the over here. But in a world where Hendricks issues with feel continue to manifest in the league and aren't just a natural learning curve. And he is able to shoot and provide some defense, but he's not fully switchable and can't really create much off the dribble other than very very opportunistically, he could have a similar career arch to what Collins has done so far (note: Collins was drafted in 2017, but is still only 25 years old).

Taylor Hendricks Player Statistics

Per Game

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 34 34.7 5.4 11.3 .478 1.8 4.6 .394 3.6 6.8 .535 2.5 3.2 .782 2.4 4.6 7.0 1.4 0.9 1.7 1.4 2.0 15.1

Totals

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 34 1179 184 385 .478 61 155 .394 123 230 .535 86 110 .782 80 157 237 46 31 59 48 68 515

Per 40 Minutes

Season GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
2021-22 34 1179 6.2 13.1 .478 2.1 5.3 .394 4.2 7.8 .535 2.9 3.7 .782 8.0 1.6 1.1 2.0 1.6 2.3 17.5

Advanced Stats

Season G MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS WS/40 OBPM DBPM BPM
2021-22 34 1179 22.5 .589 .557 .403 .286 8.1 16.2 12.1 8.6 1.6 6.2 9.9 21.2 3.5 2.2 5.7 .195 5.4 2.5 7.9
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