Each week, the Draft Digest team picks an NBA rookie from each conference as the best player of the week. The sample size for nearly every rookie is now enough to start making real projections....
Tier 1 – Highest Superstar Probabilities, But with Material Question Marks
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Tier 2 – Bi-Annual Talent (#1 pick most years)
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Tier 3 – Potential All Stars and Lower Probability Superstars
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Tier 4 – Probable Starters with Upside, but Real Obstacles to Greatness
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Tier 5 – “Safer” Quality Role Players and Reasonable Home Run Swings
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Tier 6 – Role players with More Limited Ceilings and Lower Probability Upside Swings
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Model Output:
Original
4.28
No Impact
3.13
Positional
6.19
Humble
2.31
Pos Humble
1.78
Average
3.54
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Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:
(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)
Gordon HaywardAlize JohnsonDoug McDermott
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Tier 7 – (Fringe 1st Round) Potential Role Players with More Risk & Lottery Tickets
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Tier 8 – (Potential Early 2nd Round Picks): Riskier role players & Extreme Lottery Tickets
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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Physically Similar NCAA Prospects:
(Based on Height / Wingspan / Weight, not on Playing Style / Skill / Ceiling)
Avery BradleyElfrid PaytonElie Okobo
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Tier 9 – (Late 2nd round fliers or Undrafted FAs): Hail Mary Time
(Note: Each name is clickable to view full player statistics)
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